Following on from the post about the written evidence submitted to the Transport Select Committee about the preparedness (or otherwise) for the early winter weather in December, Piers Corbyn has a post on his WeatherAction site that is required reading.
In addition to providing some useful documents for readers to download, Piers lambasts the Met Office’s written evidence, declaring:
THE MET OFFICE’s submission is, I would say: a Mubarak-style, bunkerish, self-serving, denial of reality
It’s hard to disagree. Read it all here.
Autonomous Mind 
I’d say Piers has summed it up about right.
Before giving any credence to Piers Corbyn, check his winter forecast (“This winter is the Stalingrad in the ‘Climate War’; it will be long and hard, those who understand this winter will win.” -http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=290&c=5) and compare it with the reality. It’s a lovely spring-like day here, with the temperature reaching 14 deg.C. There’s been little sign of the “(12-2-11) Harsh Winter blasts returning on cue for England, Wales and most of Europe 2nd half Feb.” (http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=308&c=5)
To quote Public Enemy, “Don’t believe the hype”!
He’s been more right than wrong, and certainly more right than the 48hr Met Office.
The bigger and faster the computer the better.
It helps you get the wrong answer faster, and to a greater degree of precision.
And that, folks, is the point of modelling on super computers.
“He’s been more right than wrong” – according to Piers himself. His claim is that he can give accurate forecasts months in advance, so let’s judge him on that.
“For Britain, Ireland & Europe, the current weather period 4th-9th Feb is milder at times and more mobile in South half of Britain & Ireland and much of Europe than long-range forecasted. Variations were anyway warned of in the WeatherAction forecast for the first 12 days so now it seems clear the milder side will largely prevail in the South.
However the view for colder sometimes snowy weather including South England and parts of Europe in mid and later Feb still stands. ……” (from http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=308&c=5 with the last sentence highlighted)
Right, let’s examine this – “milder at times and more mobile in South half of Britain & Ireland and much of Europe than long-range forecasted.” In other words the forecast was WRONG. I’m still waiting for the “harsh winter blasts returning on cue” he forecast two weeks ago. Seems like he can’t even forecast a couple of weeks ahead, never mind months.
Funnily enough, Lincolnshire County Council, in their submission to the Transport Committee, said how satisfied they were with the Met Office’s forecast. I suspect the only reason you give Corbyn any credence is because you like his anti-AGW stance. Don’t let the evidence stand in the way, eh?
Corbyn forecast what happened in December back in the summer. The Met Office didn’t start with the snow advisories until 48 hours before it arrived. See the difference Bob?
What I respect about Corbyn is he actually puts up his forecast and if he’s wrong then he accepts it. The Met Office get it wrong and they spin themselves into contortions trying to convince people otherwise. And when the Met Office get their 24hr forecast wrong they pretend it never happened… evidence https://autonomousmind.wordpress.com/2010/12/27/met-office-severe-weather-warning-ignored-in-northern-ireland/.
As for the Lincolnshire submission, they were referring to the Met Office’s 24-48hr forecasts. Even the one month forecast issued in November was an exercise in hedging bets.
Bob doesn’t like being objective but if he would care to read our actual detailed forecast it did NOT say every day would be very cold everywhere and describes on the forecast graph FEB 24th as “WARM”. Yes that is what it says – it was for a short very mild spell just before a reversion to cold with some snow and THAT IS also coming.
Bob WHAT IS YOUR PROBLEM? Did you actually read our forecast? Do you get pleasure from spreading lies about people? Please declare your interests.
“Corbyn forecast what happened in December back in the summer.” When exactly? I’ve looked at the summer News items (20 to 32) and can’t seem to find it. The “Comments from Piers” only go back to December. Perhaps you could post a link? However, I did find this highlighted in the 5 October News (no. 33) – “..the recent Positive Weather Solutions forecast of a coming cold winter should be ignored absolutely” and “Our statement today is NOT a hint that the winter might in fact be the opposite to what others say. We are saying nothing” Saying nothing is a forecast? My point was that the apocalyptic forecasts for January and February (at least the ones we can see for free and I quoted in a previous post) were wrong, and they were issued a few weeks in advance.
Piers, I can only read the forecasts you publish that I don’t have to pay for. By all means move the goalposts, I’m sure the conspiracy theorists won’t notice. Spreading lies? I’m only quoting what I can find on your website and comparing it with the weather I’ve observed. Based on that, I’m unlikely to be buying your forecasts. I’ve no “interests” other than trying to bring a bit of objectivity here – my interest was piqued by that Boris Johnson endorsement, and I just thought I’d see if you were as good as the claims. You weren’t. Oh, just thought I’d say the upper case SHOUTING make you look a bit silly.