The blog post title on PoliticalBetting yesterday said it all… ‘All the firms have UKIP in the same direction’.
One wonders if there is still time to get Farage out of the pub and talking to the issues.
The polling data is bad news not just for UKIP but also for the wider Eurosceptic community. It suggest support for UKIP is drifting to the Conservatives, despite Cameron’s strongly pro-EU messaging, and the negative and dishonest picture he and the Tory outriders such as Roland Rudd, Open Europe and the CBI have painted about the future the UK could enjoy outside the EU. In the absence of leadership the masses will turn to the loudest voice they hear. Thanks to Farage’s warped priorities, the EUphiles are the only voices being heard.
This blog has been castigated by some in the Faragista cult for daring to criticise Farage and for saying that he represents the biggest threat to UKIP success because of his questionable past, his refusal to do detail and his fear of engaging in the important debate where the EUphile are using lies and misinformation to frighten people into thinking the Only Way is Brussels. It is too soon to claim we have been vindicated, but it is certainly heading that way and we take no pleasure from it at all.
Despite a spurt in electoral support, Farage’s failure to challenge the fear, uncertainty and doubt spread by the Tory machine and its external allies, and his dumb mute act on the substantive issues about how the UK could leave the EU, enjoy political freedom and still prosper economically as part of the single market, is giving voters the impression that UKIP is all fur coat and no knickers. People want to know how UKIP could get us out of the EU and Farage won’t commit to an answer and hammer it home time and again. The lack of substance is being reflected in the opinion polls.
If Farage was doing his job instead of engaging in daft self promotional stunts, UKIP would not only be holding its new supporters, but adding to their number and strengthening the Eurosceptic cause. This could be an opportunity lost for UKIP and the prospective ‘Out’ campaign. Getting the support back after it has lost confidence will be harder than winning it the first time around. Farage is possibly the best ally Cameron has.